Water treatment processes are required to be in statistical control and capable of meeting drinking water specifications. Control charts are used to monitor the stability of quality parameters by distinguishing the in-control and out-of-control states. The basic assumption in standard applications of control charts is that observed data from the process are independent and identically distributed. However, the independence assumption is often violated in chemical processes such as water treatment. Autocorrelation, a measure of dependency, is a correlation between members of a series arranged in time. The residuals obtained from autoregressive integrated moving averages (ARIMA) time series model plotted on standard control chart is used to overcome the misleading of standard control charts in case of autocorrelation. In this study, special cause control (SCC) chart, also called chart of residuals from fitted ARIMA model, has been used for turbidity and pH data from a drinking water treatment plant in Samsun, Turkey. ARIMA (3,1,0) for turbidity and ARIMA (1,1,1) for pH were determined as the best time series models to remove autocorrelation. Results showed that SCC chart is more appropriate for autocorrelated data to evaluate stability of the water treatment process since it provides a higher probability of coverage than an individuals control chart.
- drinking water
- special cause control chart
- First received 26 January 2016.
- Accepted in revised form 17 August 2016.
- © IWA Publishing 2016